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Mapping ADPs to auction value (Bill Macey)

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  • Mapping ADPs to auction value (Bill Macey)

    y = -9.8ln(x) + 57.8

    Could someone please explain this to me? If I was using this equation with the number 1 ADP what would it look like?

    Thanks

  • #2
    Originally posted by philatusa View Post
    y = -9.8ln(x) + 57.8

    Could someone please explain this to me? If I was using this equation with the number 1 ADP what would it look like?

    Thanks
    http://youtu.be/YtpkrIS4Sig?hd=1

    Comment


    • #3
      LN indicates "natural logarithm." A scientific calculator, including the one in Windows, has this function. But it's going to be easiest to do it in Excel. Let's say you have a spreadsheet in which ADP is located in Column K, and you have empty columns L and M and you want to show the calculated value in column M. Row 1 is your header row, so you have values beginning in row 2.

      In Column L, row 2, type this:

      =LN(K2)

      In Column M, row 2, type this:

      = (-9.8*L2) + 57.8

      Then fill those formulas in the rest of the rows in those columns.

      Comment


      • #4
        JonE is completely correct.

        As an aside, given the asymptotic nature of the natural log function, I wouldn't rely on the formula for the very early picks. Also, to the extent you're in a mixed league, NFBC recently starting making actual AAVs available. Looks like Trout (consensus #1 pick) is going for $51 on average.

        (https://playnfbc.shgn.com/adp/baseball)

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        • #5
          Okay, in case I'm not the only one who might have to look it up, "asymptotic" means approaching but never quite reaching a limit.
          "America is an effort. We are a nation born of risk and adversity--of fearful seas to cross just to get here in the first place, of land to clear, floods, epidemic disease, of slave chains and city slums and terrible winters on the high plains." -- David McCullough

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          • #6
            Thanks fellas, I appreciate it.

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