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Mapping ADPs to auction value (Bill Macey)

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  • Mapping ADPs to auction value (Bill Macey)

    y = -9.8ln(x) + 57.8

    Could someone please explain this to me? If I was using this equation with the number 1 ADP what would it look like?

    Thanks

  • #2
    Originally posted by philatusa View Post
    y = -9.8ln(x) + 57.8

    Could someone please explain this to me? If I was using this equation with the number 1 ADP what would it look like?

    Thanks
    http://youtu.be/YtpkrIS4Sig?hd=1

    Comment


    • #3
      LN indicates "natural logarithm." A scientific calculator, including the one in Windows, has this function. But it's going to be easiest to do it in Excel. Let's say you have a spreadsheet in which ADP is located in Column K, and you have empty columns L and M and you want to show the calculated value in column M. Row 1 is your header row, so you have values beginning in row 2.

      In Column L, row 2, type this:

      =LN(K2)

      In Column M, row 2, type this:

      = (-9.8*L2) + 57.8

      Then fill those formulas in the rest of the rows in those columns.

      Comment


      • #4
        JonE is completely correct.

        As an aside, given the asymptotic nature of the natural log function, I wouldn't rely on the formula for the very early picks. Also, to the extent you're in a mixed league, NFBC recently starting making actual AAVs available. Looks like Trout (consensus #1 pick) is going for $51 on average.

        (https://playnfbc.shgn.com/adp/baseball)

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        • #5
          Okay, in case I'm not the only one who might have to look it up, "asymptotic" means approaching but never quite reaching a limit.
          "The brain is wider than the sky." -- Emily Dickinson

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          • #6
            Thanks fellas, I appreciate it.

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