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Firstly, I cannot list how many times over the past few years this particular column has given me the edge on watching a prospect and pouncing a week before the general population has caught wind. Along with MarketWatch, these are my two favorite columns, followed by the Speculator coming in a close third.
What I find however, is that each week, there is a new list of prospects that are close to promotion.
What I would find useful is a ranking of sorts - lets say Top 10 NL and Top 10 AL of prospects close to getting promoted. A player moves up the rankings as his probability of getting recalled increases and his impact of once he gets called up increases.
Perhaps it can be broken down as follows:
Projected Call Up time frame
A - within the next week
B - 7-21 days
C - 21-45 days
D - prior to Sept
E - Sept 1
Projected playing time:
A - full time starter (position player or pitcher)
B - strict platoon
C - part time player
Impact (factoring in playing time):
A - Add in all leagues
B - Add in leagues of 12-14 teams
C - Add in leagues of over 14 teams
D - Add for specific category help (ie saves, steals, Ks, etc.)
E - Watch, add immediately if opportunity arises.
Using these metrics a guy listed in the top 2 would be an AAA type of player.
A perfect guy that would fit this mold would have been Nick Franklin. Perhaps not even on the list in early April, he would slowly rise on the list as Ackley/Ryan struggled and he had more and more success.
This is just a rough draft of how I envision this working and the cherry on top would be for this to be updated daily, essentially like a stock board where the bottom few players may be added/dropped each day based on these factors which are understood to be all speculative in nature.
This would truly be a WatchList.
What I find however, is that each week, there is a new list of prospects that are close to promotion.
What I would find useful is a ranking of sorts - lets say Top 10 NL and Top 10 AL of prospects close to getting promoted. A player moves up the rankings as his probability of getting recalled increases and his impact of once he gets called up increases.
Perhaps it can be broken down as follows:
Projected Call Up time frame
A - within the next week
B - 7-21 days
C - 21-45 days
D - prior to Sept
E - Sept 1
Projected playing time:
A - full time starter (position player or pitcher)
B - strict platoon
C - part time player
Impact (factoring in playing time):
A - Add in all leagues
B - Add in leagues of 12-14 teams
C - Add in leagues of over 14 teams
D - Add for specific category help (ie saves, steals, Ks, etc.)
E - Watch, add immediately if opportunity arises.
Using these metrics a guy listed in the top 2 would be an AAA type of player.
A perfect guy that would fit this mold would have been Nick Franklin. Perhaps not even on the list in early April, he would slowly rise on the list as Ackley/Ryan struggled and he had more and more success.
This is just a rough draft of how I envision this working and the cherry on top would be for this to be updated daily, essentially like a stock board where the bottom few players may be added/dropped each day based on these factors which are understood to be all speculative in nature.
This would truly be a WatchList.
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