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Sale, N Feliz, Bard -- New Roles, New ERA Projections?

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  • Sale, N Feliz, Bard -- New Roles, New ERA Projections?

    What kind of effect can we see on the projected ERAs with these guys moving from the pen to the rotation?

    I already noticed a bump on up on the ERAs from the Forecaster on Sale and Bard so I might have answered my own question, but N Feliz's pERA has stayed the same with a significant pIP increase.

    On a side note, are there other pitchers I'm missing who are moving from the pen to the rotation?

    Thank you.

  • #2
    In the AL, there also is Aaron Crow and Jim Johnson (as of right now). On average, ERAs are 0.75 - 1.00 higher for relievers who become starters.
    "If you never guess wrong, you're not guessing about hard enough things." -- Jordan Ellenberg

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Michael@HQ View Post
      In the AL, there also is Aaron Crow and Jim Johnson (as of right now). On average, ERAs are 0.75 - 1.00 higher for relievers who become starters.
      Michael, thank you for the quick reply. Will we eventually see BBHQ eventually change the pERA on a bunch of these guys, then?

      I remember guys like P Hughes and CJ Wilson getting about a half run bump in the past. I already see that BBHQ gave Bard about a half run bump already from the Forecaster. I don't expect much change (or any) for Sale, since the Forecaster already had him at 127 innings and in a SP role. Feliz, however, has had his pIP increase by 100+ innings and still has the 3.21 pERA from the Forecaster.

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      • #4
        I'm not sure. There certainly is some skepticism about whether Crow will stick as a starter.
        "If you never guess wrong, you're not guessing about hard enough things." -- Jordan Ellenberg

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        • #5
          Oops, I was wrong about Jim Johnson. Earlier in the off-season, he was said to be headed toward the rotation, but now the plan is for him to close games.

          Crow is projected by BaseballHQ right now to have a bullpen role (73 IP in 47 games).
          "If you never guess wrong, you're not guessing about hard enough things." -- Jordan Ellenberg

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