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Mike Jacobs projected CT%

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  • Mike Jacobs projected CT%

    Quick question, wasn't sure where to post this.

    Why does Mike Jacobs' projection have him with an 80% Contact Rate this season? Is that due to the new ballpark? Or is HQ just bullish? I understand the projected numbers, but I wonder if 80% isn't wishful thinking.

    Any insight would be appreciated.
    To Mordor we will take you.

  • #2
    Florida has (one of) the highest pitcher strikeout rate of all MLB parks. High mound, bad backdrop, something. Getting out of that park and moving to KC gives Jacobs a couple of point bump in projected ct%.

    I looked sometime over the winter, and I think his home/road splits for his Marlin career also supported this.

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    • #3
      Thanks. He isn't off to a good start in ST with K's, but 3 homers so far makes me feel a lot better about that.
      To Mordor we will take you.

      Comment


      • #4
        I said in another thread that I think Jacobs will be the most commone player on HQ-owners leagues this year. He is listed at MDC as 241. Behind some names like Delgado,Konerko,Blalock,Giambi,Kotchman. I know that I will be leaving my UT spot open and if he drops that low, i will be taking him.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Doc View Post
          I said in another thread that I think Jacobs will be the most commone player on HQ-owners leagues this year. He is listed at MDC as 241. Behind some names like Delgado,Konerko,Blalock,Giambi,Kotchman. I know that I will be leaving my UT spot open and if he drops that low, i will be taking him.
          Good approach.

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          • #6
            From 2006-2008, Jacobs had a 75% contact rate at home, 78% on the road. Last year, the split was even more pronounced: 72% home, 79% road.

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            • #7
              With his power it's not like he needs an 80% contact rate anyway. Plenty of sluggers get along just fine with a contact rate around 77% or even much lower.
              To Mordor we will take you.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by Ringwraiths View Post
                With his power it's not like he needs an 80% contact rate anyway. Plenty of sluggers get along just fine with a contact rate around 77% or even much lower.
                But incremental gains in ct% will limit his BA downside.

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