Full projections

[royalfan]

When do the full player projections come out and show up on the website?

[RAY@HQ]

Week of 12/16...

[TMac]

Week of 12/16...

That's right around the corner. I assume that these projections will migrate to the Custom Draft Guide.

Busy time of the year for BHQ. Free agent signings and trades on a daily basis, that effect rosters and player projections. Hope Ray's getting overtime.

[royalfan]

Week of 12/16...

Love it!

[Snider]

Is it more likely that the 2025 projections will be on the site on early this week or later in the week? Do you have a day in mind that you are targeting them to be ready? I’m assuming I should just click on CSV download and they will be ready for download when they go live. Thanks

[RAY@HQ]

I'm currently aiming for Wednesday afternoon/evening. I'll post an announcement/article when they go live.

[RAY@HQ]

OK, 2025 projections are live on the site. You'll find them in Playerlink, the 2025 projections data table, the Custom Draft Guide, and the CSV Download Center

Data in Playerlink like ADP, LIMA Grade, DL Days, and (notably) the "From the Baseball Forecaster" comments are all updated.

I still have a LOT of QA to do on the projections themselves. As much work as I do offline before loading these, there's a lot more that is easier to spot once we get up on the site here. So that will happen over next couple of days. There will be multiple updates per day. I hope to have things in a decent state by the weekend, and then mostly leave things alone over the holidays.

So, take what you see right now with a few grains of salt... but enjoy just the same. We're on to 2025!

[anb]

Thanks--the official beginning of the season

[anb]

Hey! Where's Shohei?

[BC96]

Thanks Ray

[RAY@HQ]

Hey! Where's Shohei?

He's always causing problems.

Will get him on my cleanup list.

[TMac]

I know that dollar values aren't the be all end all, but I have a question.

What format are dollar values based on? 12 team (5x5) NL or AL? 15 team mixed?

[RAY@HQ]

Yeah, great question. I should really sticky this somewhere:

Here’s the definitive “what dollar values are shown in which place” guide:

• The values on the General tab in Playerlink are 12-team AL or NL-only values (depending on the player's league). R$ is 4x4 and 5x5 is (of course) 5x5 values. Those values should match the AL or NL-only projection files if you download those.
• The values on the Historical tab in Playerlink are the mixed-league 4x4 and 5x5 values. Two reasons for this: we don’t keep historical record of a player’s team/league for each season, and those historical dollar values are best for player-to-player comparison and multi-year trending. Mixed-league values are best for those purposes.
• The mixed league projection files show 12- and 15-team mixed league 5x5 values. AL-only and NL-only projection files show the AL-only and NL-only 4x4 and 5x5 values. (Those match the General tab from Playerlink).
• The 2024 Projections datatable shows the 12- and 15-team mixed 5x5 values as well.
  Important: it still shows mixed-league values even if you change the filter on that projections page to AL-only or NL-only.
• Finally, the Custom Draft Guide is always available to give you values that are tailored to your specific league format.

[anb]

only other issue i see is some dude with 25 wins.

[RAY@HQ]

Yeah, someone typo'd Ryne Stanek for 20% playing time instead of 2%. That will get fixed in next run.

I've also fixed some SPs who should have had QS projections but didn't (Seth Lugo a primary example). Also will be fixed in next run.

As far as global issues, though, it looks pretty good. Lots of individual projection tweaking to do, but on the whole it's looking pretty good.