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2020 Projections - Corrections Hitters Only

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  • 2020 Projections - Corrections Hitters Only

    Ray - There are several issues with the projections for the hitters that need to addressed. Pitchers to follow.

    Wellington Castillo - 238 Ab's and 0 BB
    Buster Posey - 506 AB's and 4 BB
    Brandon Belt - 570 AB's and 8 BB
    Steve Pearce - 251 AB's 31 Hits 0 HR - that cannot be right
    Dan Descalso - 89 AB's 13 runs 10 hits 7 HR's and 10 RBI - same
    Scooter Gennett - 338 AB's 2 BB
    Donovan Solano - 202 AB's and 2 BB
    Brandon Crawford - 572 AB's and 6 BB
    Mauricio Dubon - 508 AB's and 2 BB
    Evan Longoria - 540 AB's and 4 BB
    Pablo Sandoval - 135 AB's and 1 BB
    Jaylin Davis - 235 AB's 3 BB
    Alex Dickerson - 405 AB 3 BB
    Steven Duggar - 269 AB's and 3 BB
    Kevin Pillar - 542 AB and 2 BB
    Austin Slater - 269 AB's and 3 BB
    Mike Yastrzemski - 505 AB's and 5 BB

    Ray - there are a lot of San Francisco Giants on the list of issues that need to be addressed. Thank you for going through these issues and resolving them. Baseball HQ is the Gold Standard of projections.

  • #2
    Thanks for making sure we knew about those problems, Snider. See posts 19-24 of this thread too, which let's us know that Ray is working on the low BBs for Giant players. https://forums.baseballhq.com/showth...ections-are-up!
    "If you torture data long enough, they will confess." -- Ronald Coase

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    • #3
      Thank you Michael. I did not see those posts. I will not post the pitchers' errors since you are aware of the Giants problems.

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      • #4
        Not a problem. The more eyes on the projections, the quicker that we'll shake out any more bugs.
        "If you torture data long enough, they will confess." -- Ronald Coase

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        • #5
          That issue with the SF guys is now fixed. Sorry for the delay.

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          • #6
            Thank you Ray. However, the non - SF Giants on my list above have not been fixed. Castillo still has zero walks. Pearce's projections don't make sense. Thank you.

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            • #7
              I believe both Castillo and Pearce are FAs. Those will get cleaned up if/when they sign somewhere.

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              • #8
                Ray - how often will you be updating your projections during the off-season?

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                • #9
                  We'll go to daily updates by the end of this week.

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                  • #10
                    Thank you very much Ray. And Happy New Year.

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                    • #11
                      Another small nit. I noticed there is no projection for Ke'Bryan Hayes. Assuming this is due to the fact that he may be starting in AAA?

                      Thanks

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                      • #12
                        We're likely to see him sometime this year, so he should be added. We'll get that done. Thanks.

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                        • #13
                          Willie Calhoun's OBP looks too low at .305. Thanks.

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                          • #14
                            Gallo's numbers way down from the Forecaster, too. And Lynn on the pitching side. Maybe you're expecting the new Rangers park to be extreme for pitching?

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                            • #15
                              Well yes, we did move the ballpark to being essentially neutral. That’s a big change. I’ll review and see if the projections effect was too dramatic.

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