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I belief a while back someone wrote an article that converted auction salary to draft round. I searched but couldnt find. Can anyone help?
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Yeah, that was on the old site, and we're having some difficulty getting those archived pieces moved over. I'll see if I can get my hands on it... I think it appeared in the Forecaster a few years ago. -
That would be great. It would be great if you could save articles you find useful to your account to go back and look at themComment
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The site search tool actually works great now. But only for articles that are actually available on the site.
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Ron Shandler snake to auction conversion, though I'm not sure if either link still works:
http://www.baseballhq.com/members/ne...rs100226.shtml (Feb 26 2010)
Several years ago, I took a look at the dollar value distribution when players are snaked. I created a chart containing each player's projected dollar value, slotted into their appropriate cell in a round-by-round snake draft. Here were the average player values by round:
Rd $$
== ===
1 $34
2 $26
3 $23
4 $20
5 $18
6 $17
7 $16
8 $14
9 $13
10 $12
11 $11
12 $10
13 $9
14 $8
15 $7
16 $6
17 $5
18 $4
19 $3
20 $2
21 $1
22 $1
23 $1 The charts yielded some general benchmarks:
- All $30 players will go in the first round.
- All $20-plus players will go in the first four rounds.
- Double-digit value ends pretty much after Round 11.
- The $1 end game starts at about Round 20.
However, from the perspective of looking at snake versus auction, there was one more tidbit that was far more intriguing:
Dollar value difference between
first player selected and
last player selected.
Round 12-team 15-team
===== ============== ===============
1 $15 $19
2 7 8
3 5 4
4 3 3
5 2 2
6 2 1
7-17 1 1
18+ 0 0The huge difference in value in the first two rounds, from first to last seed, begged another question: "Is one draft slot better than another?"
Apparently so. In a 15-team league, the top seed, drafting at #1 and #30, would get a $47 and a $24 player ($71). The bottom seed, drafting #15 and #16, would get two $28s ($56). Since the talent level flattens out after the 2nd round, low seeds never get a chance to catch up. The total value each seed accumulates at the end of the draft is hardly equitable:
Seed 12-team 15-team
==== ======= =======
1 $266 $273
2 $264 $269
3 $263 $261
4 $262 $262
5 $259 $260
6 $261 $260
7 $260 $260
8 $261 $260
9 $261 $258
10 $257 $260
11 $257 $257
12 $258 $257
13 $257
14 $255
15 $256 This phenomenon is not a new revelation. Nando DeFino wrote about it as it related fantasy football in his January 15, 2010 Wall Street Journal column:
"As for the draft - when a fantasy player can exert some control over his team's success - if you don't get the first three picks, you've probably already lost. In a random sampling of 567 leagues hosted on CBSSports.com, having the first pick in a fantasy football draft resulted in a first-place finish 64 times. The second pick resulted in 67 first-place finishes and the third turned out 69. After that, the numbers drop precipitously. Having the first three picks in a draft correlates with a first-place finish about 50% of the time. Everything else, according to Tony Fernandez, the company's vice president of technology, "is a virtual crapshoot." So if you have the chance to trade up in next year's draft to a spot in the top three, common sense would tell you to pull the trigger on that deal."
Read more: http://www.baseballhq.com/members/ne...#ixzz1j883eI4NAnalystComment
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Links dont work but great commentaryComment
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