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[HARD ICE]

Gaudin projections are showing 47 Games. It appears that he is being considered as a relief pitcher. I wonder if that makes an impact on his ERA calculations. Right now he looks like somebody I must pick up. He is already ranked $ ahead of my favorite Wandy.

[RAY@HQ]

No, role shouldn't impact the ERA projection, but I'll get it checked just the same.

[RobR]

Gaudin projections are showing 47 Games. It appears that he is being considered as a relief pitcher. I wonder if that makes an impact on his ERA calculations. Right now he looks like somebody I must pick up. He is already ranked $ ahead of my favorite Wandy.

I think this is on my end. I'll check tonight.

[RobR]

I think this is on my end. I'll check tonight.

Updated.

[natkcole]

I noticed Kemp's projected AVG went from .297 last week to .274, with BPI's staying stable. That's quite a drop.

[jellyman]

Lackey?

I have a question, please:

What happened to Lackey's projected value for 2009 during the changeover to a new technical/formulas/methods of projecting in-season values that started this past Monday?

On Tuesday AM, when I looked, Lackey's projected values had plummetted from where they had been a week or so prior, the last time I looked. I do not know from what to what, since I did not record what they were a week ago or so. I know his projected value in 5x5 that is in the Playerlink was suddenly $9, based on a 4.00+ ERA and MORE than a 1.31 WHIP (which is where it is right now).

NOW, as of today, Wednesday, his projected ERA is 3.76, his WHIP 1.31 and his projected value for the rest of the year is $14 in 5x5. That is a material change from just 1 day ago. And the 1 day ago number was a material DROP from a week ago.

I am NOT complaining, just tryiong to understand what happened and how those adjustments occurred, or why.

Ron did say we should ask if we saw material changes.

Thanks

[RobR]

for the $9 you're reporting I think you saw some of the erroneous values, singled out by Ed above, that were published between 2pm and 9pm on 6/28. Some files I save show Lackey as $16 for 5x5 on 6/21 and $15 for 5x5 on 6/29. His projected ERA and WHIP increased slightly over that period.

[jellyman]

for the $9 you're reporting I think you saw some of the erroneous values, singled out by Ed above, that were published between 2pm and 9pm on 6/28. Some files I save show Lackey as $16 for 5x5 on 6/21 and $15 for 5x5 on 6/29. His projected ERA and WHIP increased slightly over that period.

Thanks for the response - appreciate it.

[BrewerFan]

FYI , I compared the Balance of the Year Projections (12-team Mixed) from last Friday to this Friday, as the projection formulas changed

Here are the movements of at least $5. Most seem to make sense, although Lester is way up, Lilly is way down, and Pujols is wow.

Pitchers

Lester,Jon UP $9 (From $4 to $13)
Pavano,Carl UP $9 (From -$11 to -$2)
Romero,Ricky UP $8 (From -$14 to -$6)
Mazzaro,Vince UP $7 (From $6 to $13)
Zimmermann,Jordan UP $7 (From $1 to $8)
DelaRosa,Jorge UP $7 (From -$10 to -$3)
Kazmir,Scott UP $6 (From $2 to $8)
Vasquez,Virgil UP $6 (From -$9 to -$3)
Wang,ChienMing UP $6 (From -$11 to -$5)
Paulino,Felipe UP $6 (From -$13 to -$7)
Contreras,Jose UP $6 (From -$17 to -$11)
Halladay,Roy UP $5 (From $32 to $37)
Broxton,Jonathan UP $5 (From $13 to $18)
Liriano,Francisco UP $5 (From $10 to $15)
Kuroda,Hiroki UP $5 (From $8 to $13)
Anderson,Brett UP $5 (From $4 to $9)
Nolasco,Ricky UP $5 (From $3 to $8)
Volstad,Chris UP $5 (From $1 to $6)
Bush,David UP $5 (From -$1 to $4)
Marquis,Jason UP $5 (From -$8 to -$3)
Moyer,Jamie UP $5 (From -$9 to -$4)
Kuo,HongChih UP $5 (From -$10 to -$5)
Perkins,Glen UP $5 (From -$11 to -$6)
Geer,Josh UP $5 (From -$13 to -$8)

Santana,Johan DOWN -$5 (From $30 to $25)
Johnson,Josh DOWN -$5 (From $20 to $15)
Weaver,Jered DOWN -$5 (From $18 to $13)
Lee,Cliff DOWN -$5 (From $15 to $10)
Lewis,Scott DOWN -$5 (From $2 to -$3)
Cain,Matt DOWN -$6 (From $16 to $10)
Millwood,Kevin DOWN -$6 (From $7 to $1)
Martis,Shairon DOWN -$6 (From -$3 to -$9)
Jackson,Edwin DOWN -$7 (From $9 to $2)
Lilly,Ted DOWN -$9 (From $23 to $14)
Uehara,Koji DOWN -$12 (From $5 to -$7)



Hitters

Ramirez,Manny UP $13 (From $9 to $22)
Rodriguez,Alex UP $11 (From $20 to $31)
Ibanez,Raul UP $10 (From $14 to $24)
Berkman,Lance UP $10 (From $13 to $23)
Milledge,Lastings UP $10 (From -$16 to -$6)
Pujols,Albert UP $9 (From $43 to $52)
Prado,Martin UP $9 (From -$9 to $0)
Carroll,Brett UP $9 (From -$20 to -$11)
Soriano,Alfonso UP $8 (From $10 to $18)
Reynolds,Mark UP $7 (From $18 to $25)
Zobrist,Ben UP $7 (From $13 to $20)
Polanco,Placido UP $7 (From $5 to $12)
Gonzalez,Adrian UP $6 (From $20 to $26)
Martinez,Victor UP $6 (From $15 to $21)
Bruce,Jay UP $6 (From $11 to $17)
Hamilton,Josh UP $6 (From $10 to $16)
Phillips,Brandon UP $5 (From $17 to $22)
Ramirez,Aramis UP $5 (From $9 to $14)
Gordon,Alex UP $5 (From -$1 to $4)
Gardner,Brett UP $5 (From -$3 to $2)

Pence,Hunter DOWN -$5 (From $22 to $17)
Beltran,Carlos DOWN -$5 (From $18 to $13)
Lopez,Felipe DOWN -$5 (From $11 to $6)
Guzman,Cristian DOWN -$5 (From $9 to $4)
Barajas,Rod DOWN -$5 (From -$2 to -$7)
Ryan,Brendan DOWN -$5 (From -$3 to -$8)
Bartlett,Jason DOWN -$6 (From $28 to $22)
Bloomquist,Willie DOWN -$6 (From $11 to $5)
Johnson,Nick DOWN -$6 (From $3 to -$3)
Duncan,Chris DOWN -$6 (From -$1 to -$7)
Roberts,Brian DOWN -$7 (From $21 to $14)
Garko,Ryan DOWN -$7 (From $5 to -$2)
Peralta,Jhonny DOWN -$7 (From $4 to -$3)
Harris,Brendan DOWN -$7 (From $1 to -$6)
Lewis,Fred DOWN -$7 (From $1 to -$6)
Johnson,Kelly DOWN -$7 (From -$1 to -$8)
Scutaro,Marco DOWN -$8 (From $8 to $0)
Lowell,Mike DOWN -$9 (From $8 to -$1)
Figgins,Chone DOWN -$10 (From $22 to $12)
Wright,David DOWN -$11 (From $35 to $24)
Pierre,Juan DOWN -$11 (From $8 to -$3)
DeRosa,Mark DOWN -$12 (From $14 to $2)
Beltre,Adrian DOWN -$21 (From $9 to -$12)

[PD@HQ]

Yeah, the Pujols kid is pretty good.