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possible Forecaster error?

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  • possible Forecaster error?

    Hi,
    I realize MLE's adjust a player's stats for his appropriate minor league situation, but on page 187 of the new Forecaster, Jeremy Hermida shows a 3% BB rate, with only 10 walks. Did a digit get dropped here? Just curious. Thanks!
    Richard Fish

    I have tried to email this to HQ, but I get error messages or my email bounced back to me, thus this posting.

  • #2
    I can't answer the forecaster error - but could you please post the error you got when you tried to send an email. Thanks.

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    • #3
      10 walks divided by (386 at bats + 10 walks) = 3% when rounded to the nearest whole percentage point. I don't see the error.
      "I made baseball as fun as doing your taxes!" -- Bill James on The Simpsons

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      • #4
        0.252525... to be precise, or 3% after rounding, as Michael notes.
        - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
        'Put Marvin Miller in the Hall of Fame!'

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        • #5
          The calculation is correct, but the data is wrong. Hermida walked 111 times in the minors last year, so yes, it looks like we lost a digit somewhere. I'll post corrected data to the baseballforecaster.com website as soon as I can.

          RON@HQ
          "Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist." -- George Carlin

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